Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog |
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| Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, Saat: 04:40 PM GMT Tarih: 31 Mart 2009 | +3 |


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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.
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actually,we'll have a spectacular view of the ISS coming up between 9:01pm and 9:03pm this friday looking WNW at about 56 degrees,as long as weather permits,and with any luck we'll have a nice clear sky as the front should have passed about 6-8hrs prior,oh yea its magnitude will be a brillant -3.5 which is about as bright as venus has been,I believe....which will be amazing....i'll be at work but,it should be bright enough,I'll still try and take some pics!!!!
i was in melbourne during the tornadic event just north of there today. drove back north through a very strong band of showers.
i too am looking forward to another eventful hurricane season. we are below rain levels here and with today's downpours the trees have immediately responded by bursting forth with leaves.
everyone's happier here when it's wetter...our wildlife thrive in the marshes and canals dotted throughout the landscape.
quite an amazing area here with both the technology of the space coast, complete with merritt island preserve and its multifarious wildlife coexisting alongside satellite tracking stations and high tech space stuff!
In the 70's lived in Kendall near Miami. On a beautiful clear day with little puffy white clouds, daughter, dog and I were in the back yard. From one of the little puffy floaters came a bolt of lightning. It split over our heads, hit the chain link fence beside us, hit the boat antenna next door in neighbor's yard (blew out chunk of his boat) and melted some of the wiring in our house. No warning, no clue of TStorms, nothing at all to make us think there was anything going on. Made a believer of me about lightning. Took us about half a second to get inside but the dog beat us.
THE THREAT FOR A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT INCREASES DRASTICALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. SPC HAS
OUTLOOKED OUR ENTIRE CWA IN A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER. POTENT MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL TAKE ON AN INCREASINGLY NEGATIVE
TILT AS IT EJECTS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MS VALLEY THROUGH EARLY EVENING...AND THEN ACROSS THE TN VALLEY TONIGHT. LARGE SCALE ASCENT
WILL INCREASE OVERHEAD AS THIS FEATURE APPROACHES. WARM FRONT IS EXPECTED TO HANG UP JUST NORTH OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR WITH SURFACE
BASED STORMS ALONG AND TO ITS SOUTH...AND A MORE ELEVATED VARIETY FURTHER NORTH. KINEMATIC FIELDS WILL BE VERY FAVORABLE INTO TONIGHT
WITH 55-70KTS OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR. INSTABILITY WILL NOT BE LACKING EITHER...WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS PRODUCING 1500 J/KG OF SURFACE
BASED CAPE SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT AND 800-1200 J/KG OF ELEVATED CAPE NORTH OF THE FLORIDA BORDER. LATEST SREF PROBS SHOWING A WIDE SWATH WHERE THE CRAVEN PARAMETER IS REACHING AT LEAST 20000. THIS IS A SIGNIFICANT SIGNAL OF THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL. ALL SEVERE MODES ARE POSSIBLE INTO TONIGHT...WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE. GIVEN THE LOW LEVEL WIND
FIELDS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...A FEW STRONG TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE VICINITY OF THE QUASI-STATIONARY WARM
FRONT.
Stay Safe...................
Similar incident just this past Sunday SWFL/SRQ East of I75 - early morning well b/4 the rain.....Lightening Hit the well pump of my bosses house (No Lightening Protection) and completely fried everything. Over 2 Thousand to repair -- been telling the boss he needs to get some protection - would have been cheaper.
Think it was two years ago our house got hit... the boom and energy was so great it blew me off the chair. The cats went completely static (it was one funny sight poor dears) Their fur was straight out .... thankfully we have rods & surge protection so we didn't get fried -- one TV was never quite right after wards.
I think that's where the saying OUT OF THE BLUE originates -- cause it's a "strike" from out of the blue.
The United Kingdom Urges
Warning of Solar Flares
from Mitch Battros - Earth Changes Media
The British Government was urged today to make contingency plans for a freak solar flare that could 'knock out' the National Grid and create severe water and food shortages.
Labour former minister Graham Stringer said Britain should be prepared for a repeat of the solar storm of 1859, which hit Earth and paralyzed much of the telegraph system. In a Commons motion, Mr Stringer said such an event could now 'knock out the National Grid, which would lead to a loss of water supply, transport and food and therefore create a national emergency'.
FULL ARTICLE: http://earthchangesmedia.com/secure/3247.326/article-9162524530.php
Surfs up! Building swell in the waist high range and looking pretty weak early this morning. Things will change though as the front inches closer and the winds keep blowing, we'll see an increase in the size as the day comes to a close.One major high tide today around 4:20pm. Severe storms North of the Tampa Bay area could produce a twister so keep an eye on the sky. Surf to continue to build into tomorrow and last into Saturday with more swell on the way next week! Gulf Temp 74
See Ya! I'm getting wet.
Ended up being an F-2 passed a half mile south of the house
Here is some lightning food for thought from NWS. This is to the ground for clarity.
How far can lightning strike?
Almost all lightning will occur within 10 miles of its parent thunderstorm, but it CAN strike much farther than that. Lightning detection equipment has confirmed bolts striking almost 50 miles away, but these are very rare.
Link
Calculator for ya if ya need it>
Link
well,well,well.....high tide's at 4:20,thats my favorite time of day,oh yea!!!,I'm finally off today after 9 days straight of working and I feel like I deserve some good fishing,the one strong tide seems like a winner and maybe I'll catch dinner!!!!,hey that rhymes.......the gom looks knee to waist,with nice conditions for you to surf and with the temp hovering around 75 degrees,you should be getting rid of your suit by mid-may...and I can't personally wait til the gom hits 80,may,june and october are my fav. months for swimming,with air temps in the mid-high 80's and the humidity,that water is perfect.....
-Looking at local radar
-And knowing what a thunderstorm looks like
from a distance. There are more lightning deaths in FL than any other natural weather occurence
IT is all about if the STJS is over your area,if it is with the front moving in,your area could be under the gun for long lived strong tornadic cells,anytime from 3pm-10pm cdt.....
Webcam is running...
fxus64 klix 021313
afdlix
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans la
813 am CDT Thursday Apr 2 2009
Sounding discussion...
The atmosphere has already begun to show US what its capable
of...an hour before launch...at weather forecast office Slidell...there were
sustained winds of 35 miles per hour with wind gusts of up to 47 miles per hour. The
sounding shows that the atmosphere is extremely unstable with a
lifted index value of -10.4. The southerly winds near the surface
continue to bring in warm moist air...precipitable water value is
1.24 inches.The Ricks index is 161 which indicates that there is a
51 percent probability of severe weather and the atmosphere is
capable of producing wind gusts of up 74 miles per hour...hail up to 1.37
inches in diameter and tornadoes of up to F2 intensity.
I hope this does not impact that same area of one of ours that got it last week. (Who was that in southern MS Miss Nadia?)
Miss Nadia is in Wilmington N.C.
(Click for full size in new tab)
Are you sure? LOL.
Oh yeah, that was SouthernLady that had nadoes blow through town.
you should be fine no real wx to speak of in our area,other than that darn humid 20-30mph zepher(surfmom)!!!!the wx should move into the TPA area after midnight,possible isolated severe wx on the other coast and in north fl as well.in the area south of TPA we could experience some isolated severe tomorrow morning-early afternoon,with gusty winds and a moderate chance of heavy rain for a couple hrs and if we are lucky .50-1 inches of aqua!!!
Solid Yellow= S-Thunderstorm Warnings
2. Moisture
3. Lift (the only one missing for the moment)
Severe Weather and Flash Flood Warnings
Note: This page will reload every 2 minutes. Warnings are listed with the most recent first.
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