Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Arizona's fire danger to increase Saturday; Adrian hits Category 4

Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, Saat: 03:06 PM GMT Tarih: 10 Haziran 2011

The powerful winds that have fanned Arizona's massive Wallow fire into the state's second largest fire on record will remain relatively modest on Friday, and the forecast for Eastern Arizona calls for afternoon winds of just 10 - 15 mph. On Thursday, Luna, New Mexico, located about 50 miles northeast of the fire, had sustained winds that peaked at just 12 mph, with gusts to 22. These are the lightest afternoon winds the fire region has seen all week, though firefighting efforts were hindered by very low relative humidities that reached 5% on Thursday. Firefighters were able to make progress Thursday, and the Wallow fire is now 5% contained. Unfortunately, NOAA's Storm Prediction Center forecasts that critical fire conditions will return on Saturday and Sunday, with strong southwest winds of 15 - 20 mph, gusting to 35 mph. The return of critical fire conditions this weekend means that the Wallow fire will likely become Arizona's largest wildfire in history, a distinction currently held by the 2002 Rodeo-Chediski fire (732 square miles.) The Wallow fire has grown steadily from 300 square miles on Sunday to 603 square miles on Thursday--about 50% of the size of Rhode Island.

Figure 1. Smoke from Arizona fires, including the Wallow Fire, continued traveling toward the northeast on June 8, 2011. As the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on the Terra satellite acquired this natural-color image at 12:10 Central Daylight Time, thick smoke stretched from New Mexico and Texas northeastward to Illinois. Image credit: NASA Earth Observatory.

94L bringing heavy rains to the Bahamas
The large, disorganized tropical disturbance (94L) that brought heavy rains to Jamaica, Cuba, and Haiti early this week reorganized slightly overnight, and is now bringing heavy rains to the Bahama Islands. The storm killed at least 23 people in Haiti earlier this week, due to torrential flooding rains. Satellite-estimated rainfall amounts indicate 8 -10 inches of rain fell over Haiti's southwestern peninsula this week. None of the reliable computer models is showing development of 94L into a tropical depression, and NHC is giving the disturbance a 10% chance of developing by Sunday. Wind shear is a high 20 - 30 knots in the region between Cuba and South Carolina, making development unlikely. Elsewhere in the Atlantic, none of the reliable computer models is predicting tropical cyclone development over the next seven days.

Figure 2. Morning satellite image of Hurricane Adrian taken at 10:15am EDT June 10, 2011.

Annular Adrian becomes the first major hurricane of the Eastern Pacific hurricane season
Hurricane Adrian put on an impressive bout of rapid intensification Thursday, intensifying into the season's first major hurricane in the Eastern Pacific. Adrian is the globe's 6th Category 4 or stronger tropical cyclone of the year. Adrian is expected to remain far enough offshore the coast of Mexico to not pose a threat to that country. Gradual weakening is likely through the weekend, since Adrian will be tracking over cooler ocean waters. Adrian's decay will be slower than usual for a hurricane, since it has become what is called an annular hurricane. Annular hurricanes feature a large eye surrounded by a very thick eyewall, with no spiral rain bands. The very thick eyewall makes annular hurricanes resistant to weakening due to wind shear, dry air, or cool waters. Annular hurricanes are rare; only 3% of all Eastern Pacific tropical cyclones become annular, and 1% of all Atlantic ones.

A record 100-year flood on the Missouri River
The greatest flood in recorded history is occurring along sections of the Missouri River, which runs from Montana to St. Louis, Missouri. On Thursday, the river hit 28.0' feet at Williston, North Dakota, surpassing the record flood height set in 1912. The river is expected to continue to rise to 1.4' above the 1912 mark by Tuesday. This week, the Missouri River at Omaha, Nebraska surpassed the level set during the great 1993 flood, and the river's height is currently the 2nd greatest on record, 9' below the mark set in 1952. Water releases at the six flood control dams on the Missouri River are now at more than double their previous all-time highs; these dams were built between 1940 and 1964. This great 100-year flood on the Missouri River is just beginning, and is likely to cause major damage over the next few weeks.

Have a great weekend everyone, and I'll be back Monday with a new post.

Jeff Masters

Volunteers (dhennem)

Filling sandbags at the Hamburg, IA elementery school.

Albuquerque Smoke-Free for Now (olzab2)

Arizona's Wallow fire blankets Albuquerque in smoke for days, but we got a real "breather" at last on 6/8/11

Sun Setting on Heavy Smoke (gilg72)

814 PM. Sun slipped down lower than the heavy clouds, but very heavy smoke. Almost didn't see it. Smoke comes from an over 100,000 acre fire in SW Az.

Categories: Fire

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1251. islander101010 Saat: 11:30 AM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
funny thing is looking a the b&w water vapor this yr there has been plenty of moisture over the tropical atlantic. more than most. Ive seen that image bone dry throughout the region yet thunderstorms developed over florida in the afternoon. the yr of the big fire and a yr about 25 yrs ago are the only ones i remember like this. there are way too many green lawns around the area ground water supply has to be dwindling at a increasing rate we are only suppose to water once a wk ha! if a lawn is green it should be ticketed Member Since: Eylül 11, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 2968

1252. IKE Saat: 11:34 AM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2011 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BROWN Member Since: Haziran 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044

1253. CybrTeddy Saat: 11:36 AM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Two days ago when Sunday was at 50% I said it would be down to 20% in 24 hours. Guess I was right. Thanks 94L for the letdown. Member Since: Temmuz 8, 2005 Posts: 253 Comments: 20278

1254. AussieStorm Saat: 11:37 AM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting IKE: LOL. I could have said for the next 10 days instead of 7, but I'm already flirting with be labeled a downcaster again. Heck...the entire month may be 0-0-0!!!! The "newness" of the season has already worn off. August anyone? Your just calling it how you see it mate! Nothing wrong with that. Member Since: Eylül 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13359

1256. IKE Saat: 11:41 AM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting AussieStorm: Your just calling it how you see it mate! Nothing wrong with that. Exactly. I wish Florida had a soaking TD providing several inches of rain. Good morning...or evening...... Quoting DestinJeff: Ike, Downcaster Extraordinaire! Maybe it will change the last few days of June. I've got a 50% chance of rain this afternoon. Member Since: Haziran 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044

1257. pottery Saat: 11:45 AM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Good Morning, you early birds. I remember an old saying about early birds getting worms, or some such thing. So you guys need to be careful about that. Anyway, look at the SAL this morning... Huge outbreak, but really far North. I cant remember seeing that before. There is a very peculiar set-up there with winds from the south (?) off the Gulf of Guinea and over central West Africa. How will this affect the progression of T-Waves? Also, it's strange (but not unusual for June) how relatively dry the Trop. Atl. has become after a couple of weeks of being very moist. Did anyone see the BBC report on Mr. Phil Jones? He WAS a major Global Warming Sceptic. But now he is firmly in the camp of the Worried. That's bad news, you know! Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20712

1258. CybrTeddy Saat: 11:46 AM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
June with 3 goose eggs never mean real much. I'm just hoping something develops that is weak and comes to Florida this month, maybe it will trigger the rainy season too while giving us much needed rain. Member Since: Temmuz 8, 2005 Posts: 253 Comments: 20278

1259. AussieStorm Saat: 11:50 AM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Anyone care to join me for a hot drink? This is what's in it... 1 can or lemonade, 1 can lemon, 1 can of V, 1/4 bottle of Bourbon and 4 panadols. I made it to get rid of my chest and head cold. Grrrrr at winter, bring back summer i say. Member Since: Eylül 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13359

1260. emcf30 Saat: 11:53 AM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
This forecast STINKS Member Since: Ağustos 7, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1926

1261. IKE Saat: 11:54 AM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
I agree that June means little in the ATL. Florida needs rain. It doesn't look like this is the week though. Member Since: Haziran 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044

1262. DEKRE Saat: 11:55 AM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting AussieStorm: If there was another Election in the coming months, the current govt would lose badly. When I was in Australia, the Ozzies didn't strike me as being that short sighted Mind you, that was 20 years ago Member Since: Nisan 27, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 306

1263. pottery Saat: 11:55 AM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Hey Aussie! When you have finished drinking that, I want to see your posts. They should be pretty wild.... Hope you feel better soon! Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20712

1264. Neapolitan Saat: 11:59 AM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting IKE: The "newness" of the season has already worn off. August anyone? It's just 354 days, 12 hours, and 1 minute until the start of the 2012 hurricane season... ;-) Member Since: Kasım 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 11169

1265. emcf30 Saat: 12:02 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Wallow Fire Member Since: Ağustos 7, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1926

1266. AussieStorm Saat: 12:02 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting pottery: Hey Aussie! When you have finished drinking that, I want to see your posts. They should be pretty wild.... Hope you feel better soon! I have plenty to drink, and i will drink it all. almost finished my 1st mug, got about 3 more to go by the looks of it. Member Since: Eylül 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13359

1267. pottery Saat: 12:04 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting Neapolitan: It's just 354 days, 12 hours, and 1 minute until the start of the 2012 hurricane season... ;-) Good morning Nea. What do you think about Dr. Phil Jones changing sides like that? You think he has lost his marbles?? :):)) Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20712

1269. pottery Saat: 12:06 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting AussieStorm: I have plenty to drink, and i will drink it all. almost finished my 1st mug, got about 3 more to go by the looks of it. Enjoy it. It sounds like pretty High Octane stuff, to me! Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20712

1270. AussieStorm Saat: 12:08 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting pottery: Enjoy it. It sounds like pretty High Octane stuff, to me! I need to get rid of this chest and head cold i have had for the past month. It's either this or very strong anti-biotics that will hurt my immune system. Member Since: Eylül 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13359

1271. IKE Saat: 12:09 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting Neapolitan: It's just 354 days, 12 hours, and 1 minute until the start of the 2012 hurricane season... ;-) lol. Whatever happens will happen in this season. We can't do anything about it. It'll pick up soon. I still predict 2 cane landfalls in the lower 48 this year. I hope I'm wrong. I usually am:) Member Since: Haziran 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044

1272. IKE Saat: 12:10 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Well....there it goes.... Member Since: Haziran 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044

1273. AussieStorm Saat: 12:11 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting IKE: lol. Whatever happens will happen in this season. We can't do anything about it. It'll pick up soon. I still predict 2 cane landfalls in the lower 48 this year. I hope I'm wrong. I usually am:) You maybe right, you maybe crazy. but it just maybe a lunatic this blog is looking for. Member Since: Eylül 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13359

1275. AussieStorm Saat: 12:12 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting IKE: Well....there it goes.... Oh, Z1,,,,, rain??? Member Since: Eylül 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13359

1276. AussieStorm Saat: 12:14 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting DARPAsockpuppet: Sales Promotion Rules Baker Brothers Free Tankless Promotion Any individual who purchases a Rheem Tankless Water Heater between June 7 - 30, 2011 from Baker Brothers Plumbing in Dallas Fort Worth is entitled to a refund that covers the full purchase price, basic installation and sales tax (approximately $3,200), excluding upgrading the homeowner's current gas supply lines (if required), if the maximum daily temperature does not meet or exceed one-hundred (100.0) degrees for any one (1) or more of the thirty-one (31) days in July. (see bullet point 4 below). Should one-hundred (100.0) degrees or above be recorded for any one or more dates, no refund can be claimed.Link :rollseyes: $3200 = rip-off Member Since: Eylül 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13359

1277. aquak9 Saat: 12:14 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Good morning all from NE Fla. Kinda funny to wake up to Aussie getting bombed. We are still, silent, warm, dry, and stinky-musty-smokey. I blog from a screen porch, so I'm always outside when I'm here. Member Since: Ağustos 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25008

1278. IKE Saat: 12:14 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting AussieStorm: Oh, Z1,,,,, rain??? Yeah...unfortunately. Drink good? Member Since: Haziran 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044

1279. pottery Saat: 12:14 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting AussieStorm: I need to get rid of this chest and head cold i have had for the past month. It's either this or very strong anti-biotics that will hurt my immune system. Thanks for responding, Aussie. I really appreciate it. Especially since everyone else seems to be ignoring me this morning... Several questions in my post 1257, and ??? Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20712

1280. Cotillion Saat: 12:14 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting AussieStorm: Well, with our Govt bringing in a stupid carbon tax, it's going to practically end all manufacturing here in Australia and send it to China. Oh and they did say before the last election back in August last year there would be no carbon tax, then February this year they said there would be. If there was another Election in the coming months, the current govt would lose badly. Our industry has only picked back up again, took like a decade, helped by some large scale private investment. Pretty much coinciding with our change of government last year. Hopefully it won't be too bad for you guys, especially as Australia's economy last quarter wasn't looking clever. And ah, it's tennis and cricket season so therefore all the rain comes (along with pitiful temperatures). I'm beginning to think that these two sports may actually be a sophisticated form of rain dance... Member Since: Ağustos 23, 2008 Posts: 7 Comments: 5300

1281. aquak9 Saat: 12:15 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting AussieStorm: You maybe right, you maybe crazy. but it just maybe a lunatic this blog is looking for. Priceless. Absolutely Priceless. Has anyone seen pottery? usually he's in here, bombarding us with questions. :) Member Since: Ağustos 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25008

1282. AussieStorm Saat: 12:17 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting pottery: Thanks for responding, Aussie. I really appreciate it. Especially since everyone else seems to be ignoring me this morning... Several questions in my post 1257, and ??? Let me have a look. i'm busy drinking my special medicine. If i can't think of any answers, i'll just make them up. lol Member Since: Eylül 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13359

1283. Cotillion Saat: 12:17 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting pottery: Good Morning, you early birds. I remember an old saying about early birds getting worms, or some such thing. So you guys need to be careful about that. Anyway, look at the SAL this morning... Huge outbreak, but really far North. I cant remember seeing that before. There is a very peculiar set-up there with winds from the south (?) off the Gulf of Guinea and over central West Africa. How will this affect the progression of T-Waves? Also, it's strange (but not unusual for June) how relatively dry the Trop. Atl. has become after a couple of weeks of being very moist. Did anyone see the BBC report on Mr. Phil Jones? He WAS a major Global Warming Sceptic. But now he is firmly in the camp of the Worried. That's bad news, you know! Yeah, I saw the report. Thought about linking it on here, but thought better of it. His reputation is damaged and his 'conversion' is a bit shaky. Going from skeptical to believer just because of an extra year of data? I appreciate, statistically, a line has to be drawn at some point from conjecture to fact, but given a phenomenon of this magnitude, an extra year from 14 to 15 (or whatever it was, it was single digits) is hardly going to make a ton of difference. Member Since: Ağustos 23, 2008 Posts: 7 Comments: 5300

1284. IKE Saat: 12:18 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
1/4 bottle of Bourbon...... Member Since: Haziran 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044

1285. pottery Saat: 12:21 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting aquak9: Priceless. Absolutely Priceless. Has anyone seen pottery? usually he's in here, bombarding us with questions. :) Nop! He left in disgust.. Greetings Aqua! You guys need to get Cotillion to send you some Cricket Stumps. Just put them out on the nearest grassy patch, and VOILA ! ... RAIN!! Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20712

1286. IKE Saat: 12:21 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Dedicated to Aussie..... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JEgCkOfl4jE Buying bread from a man in Brussels He was six foot four and full of muscle I said, "Do you speak-a my language?" He just smiled and gave me a vegemite sandwich And he said, "I come from a land down under Where beer does flow and men chunder Can't you hear, can't you hear the thunder? You better run, you better take cover." (Yeahhh!) Member Since: Haziran 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044

1287. AussieStorm Saat: 12:22 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting pottery: Good Morning, you early birds. I remember an old saying about early birds getting worms, or some such thing. So you guys need to be careful about that. Anyway, look at the SAL this morning... Huge outbreak, but really far North. I cant remember seeing that before. There is a very peculiar set-up there with winds from the south (?) off the Gulf of Guinea and over central West Africa. How will this affect the progression of T-Waves? No idea, would have to wait and see. Also, it's strange (but not unusual for June) how relatively dry the Trop. Atl. has become after a couple of weeks of being very moist. I guess the ITCZ isn't moving as far north. Did anyone see the BBC report on Mr. Phil Jones? He WAS a major Global Warming Sceptic. But now he is firmly in the camp of the Worried. That's bad news, you know! Maybe he need funding has decided to switch camps to get govt funding, some people would do anything to get funding for research. Member Since: Eylül 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13359

1288. aquak9 Saat: 12:23 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
What is a cricket stump? Member Since: Ağustos 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25008

1289. AussieStorm Saat: 12:24 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting IKE: 1/4 bottle of Bourbon...... That's what i am drinking mate! Member Since: Eylül 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13359

1290. pottery Saat: 12:24 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting Cotillion: Yeah, I saw the report. Thought about linking it on here, but thought better of it. His reputation is damaged and his 'conversion' is a bit shaky. Going from skeptical to believer just because of an extra year of data? I appreciate, statistically, a line has to be drawn at some point from conjecture to fact, but given a phenomenon of this magnitude, an extra year from 14 to 15 (or whatever it was, it was single digits) is hardly going to make a ton of difference. I agree about the one more year... But he was careful to explain that the 90% to 95% increase in Probability was the factor that changed his mind. Interesting anyway! Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20712

1291. Neapolitan Saat: 12:25 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting pottery: Good morning Nea. What do you think about Dr. Phil Jones changing sides like that? You think he has lost his marbles?? :):)) And good morning to you. I wouldn't say Jones changed sides. He announced early last year after gathering the 2009 global temperature data that the warming observed between 1995 and then was significant only to the 90% level, and some unfamiliar with scientific terminology misinterpreted to mean that there had been no warming at all. (Scientists generally use a minimum threshold of 95% to determine whether a trend is likely due to some underlying cause, rather than emerging by chance.) Now, Jones and friends just completed a new analysis that includes the 2010 temperature data, and that analysis boosted the trend above the 95% threshold, meaning that the warming truly is statistically significant. Of course, now many of those who last year were misconstrued Jones' remark and now claiming that he's a flip-flopper. But that's just how it goes, I suppose. C'est la vie... ;-) At this moment, I'd settle for a little Global Cooling. Or at least some Florida Raining. Member Since: Kasım 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 11169

1292. aquak9 Saat: 12:25 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
(wonders if Ike is secretly swiping some of Aussie's YellowDrank) Member Since: Ağustos 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25008

1293. IKE Saat: 12:25 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting AussieStorm: That's what i am drinking mate! Yo bud. You'll sleep like a baby. Member Since: Haziran 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044

1294. IKE Saat: 12:26 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting aquak9: (wonders if Ike is secretly swiping some of Aussie's YellowDrank) I need a good stiff drink. I haven't had one in years. Member Since: Haziran 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044

1295. AussieStorm Saat: 12:27 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting aquak9: What is a cricket stump? Member Since: Eylül 30, 2007 Posts: 5 Comments: 13359

1296. IKE Saat: 12:28 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Now it's "somewhat" unsettled for you aquak.....are they tipping Aussie's bourbon? AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 530 AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2011 .SYNOPSIS... THE REGION WILL BE IN A SOMEWHAT UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN THIS WEEK...AS THE HEAT BUILDS. Member Since: Haziran 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044

1297. emcf30 Saat: 12:28 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Member Since: Ağustos 7, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1926

1298. pottery Saat: 12:28 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting aquak9: What is a cricket stump? No wonder it never rains there..... Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20712

1299. emcf30 Saat: 12:29 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Member Since: Ağustos 7, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1926

1300. Neapolitan Saat: 12:30 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Quoting Cotillion: Yeah, I saw the report. Thought about linking it on here, but thought better of it. His reputation is damaged and his 'conversion' is a bit shaky. Going from skeptical to believer just because of an extra year of data? I appreciate, statistically, a line has to be drawn at some point from conjecture to fact, but given a phenomenon of this magnitude, an extra year from 14 to 15 (or whatever it was, it was single digits) is hardly going to make a ton of difference. Hey, Cotillion. But it's not some subjective determination Jones made; the longer data set (1995-2010) simply pushed the odds of GW not being natural above the 95% threshold scientists look for, so it wasn't some personal change of heart Jones had. And if 2010 cools enough, next years' analyses could drop back below 95%, and the warming trend would no longer be "significant". It's just statistics... ;-) Member Since: Kasım 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 11169

1301. pottery Saat: 12:31 PM GMT Tarih: 12 Haziran 2011
Post 1287. Thanks Aussie. Keep taking the Medicine. You'll be fine. Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20712

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