Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Spectacular cloud holes yesterday
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, Saat: 05:01 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Ocak 2007 +1
An unusually large series of cloud holes developed over Mississippi, Louisiana, Texas, Arkansas, and Alabama yesterday, which were captured by several alert wunderphotographers (see the thumbnail images at the bottom). These cloud holes (also called "dissipation trails" or "distrails") are formed when an aircraft passes through a deck of clouds containing water drops that have cooled below the freezing point of water. The exhaust particles of the aircraft's engines serve as nuclei for the supercooled water drops to freeze on, and the resulting ice crystals fall towards the ground as "fall streaks". Also, engine heat and turbulence along the wing tips mixes moist and dry air, helping create clear holes. It typically takes about 20 minutes for a cloud hole to form after an airplane has passed, so it is not obvious that a aircraft create the holes.


Visible image of the clouds holes of January 29, 2007, as seen by NASA's Terra satellite.

For more detailed information on this event, including animations and upper-air plots, see the University of Wisconsin CIMSS Satellite blog.

I'll have a preview on Wednesday of the upcoming blockbuster climate report scheduled to be released Friday by the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

Jeff Masters
Alabama Sky (southgirl)
Very cold here in Alabama. Temp this am was 20 degrees. Brrrr
Alabama Sky
Negative Contrail 1 (WeatheringHeights)
Even though I was sick as a dog (and home from work), I went out in the freezing cold this morning and took pictures, when I saw this cloud out the window. I just couldn't miss this one. ;) The second photo is looking west, this one was looking east. I sent it to the Chief Meteorologist at KXAS-TV - NBC5 in Dallas-Fort Worth. Here's what he said.... "It's a kind of 'negative' contrail. Apparently the jet exhaust caused the cirrus cloud layer to condense and fall out as snow, leaving a gap in the clouds. I don't think I've ever seen one like it.
Negative Contrail 1
Cloud1 (eds0736)
Strange
Cloud1
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Reader Comments
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202. Tazmanian Saat: 03:41 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
Agree cyclonebuster has long as you keep the Global Warming part out for a day or so ok?
Member Since: Mayıs 21, 2006 Posts: 5088 Comments: 111306
204. Inyo Saat: 04:00 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
well the last La Nina brought more rain than the current El Nino, and rains this year only started when El Nino fizzled. So i say, bring on the La Nina (for the west coast anyway.. we don't need any more Gulf hurricanes)
Member Since: Eylül 3, 2002 Posts: 42 Comments: 765
205. weatherboykris Saat: 04:02 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
anyone on?
Member Since: Aralık 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11343
206. pottery Saat: 04:35 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
who's up at this hour. Its Friday where I am.
Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20692
207. pottery Saat: 04:37 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
Or maybe its Wednesday. What day is it anyway ?
Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20692
208. weatherboykris Saat: 04:40 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
It's not Friday anywhere on earth
Member Since: Aralık 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11343
209. weatherboykris Saat: 04:41 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
11:38 PM here.
Member Since: Aralık 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11343
210. pottery Saat: 04:41 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
Cant be Friday, cause yesterday was Tuesday. Today is certainly Wednesday. And we are all still here. Except for the ones that are not, of course.
Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20692
211. weatherboykris Saat: 04:42 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
so how are you doing?
Member Since: Aralık 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11343
212. pottery Saat: 04:44 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
Its strange hearing from you , as you are still yesterday..........
Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20692
213. weatherboykris Saat: 04:44 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
knock it off.LOL.What do you think of the El Nino?
Member Since: Aralık 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11343
214. pottery Saat: 04:44 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
Are you a voice from the past ?????
Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20692
215. pottery Saat: 04:46 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
I,m from the future. What do you wish to know about tomorow ?
Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20692
216. weatherboykris Saat: 04:47 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
stop it.
Member Since: Aralık 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11343
217. pottery Saat: 04:51 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
El Nino has gone away. The predictions were out again. The forecasters are basing thier predictions on historical info that no longer applies. We are flying blind now, and noone can acurately predict the weather or climate with more than 50 % accuracy. Thats what I think.......
Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20692
218. pottery Saat: 04:53 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
But there is a 50 % chance I may be wrong !!
Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20692
219. pottery Saat: 04:54 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
I hope I have not upset you ........
Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20692
220. weatherboykris Saat: 04:56 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
not really.But seriously,it looks just about over.
Member Since: Aralık 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11343
221. pottery Saat: 04:59 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
Can you recall what the original forecast was, back in Nov. ? I'm trying to remember, but the head is tired...
Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20692
222. pottery Saat: 05:01 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
I think that it was to sustain until June, and dissipate by August. Is that right ?
Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20692
223. weatherboykris Saat: 05:02 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
from December 9th...
Member Since: Aralık 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11343
224. pottery Saat: 05:03 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
Oh, and its Wed. where you are too, so everything is cool.
Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20692
225. weatherboykris Saat: 05:07 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
Yeah,I've finally caught up.
Member Since: Aralık 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11343
226. pottery Saat: 05:08 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
OK. So what do you think caused the change to normal so early in the year. Any ideas ?
Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20692
227. weatherboykris Saat: 05:10 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
Things just didn't develop the way they were supposed to I geuss...you?
Member Since: Aralık 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11343
228. weatherboykris Saat: 05:15 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
goodnight Pottery.
Member Since: Aralık 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11343
229. pottery Saat: 05:17 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
Exactly ! But why didnt they develop as expected ? My point earlier is pertinent here. We are basing our forecasts on what USED to happen. The climate has changed, and will continue to do so. So we are attempting to predict the weather using outdated info. This will change as we understand what is happening NOW, but the info we are getting is not enough yet. Ice caps melting, ocean temps changing, hot dry air from Africa reaching Florida etc. Its all too new........
Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20692
230. pottery Saat: 05:18 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
Nite Nite........
Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20692
231. pottery Saat: 05:19 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
Any insomniacs out there ?
Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20692
232. pottery Saat: 05:28 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
In the morning then...........................
Member Since: Ekim 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 20692
233. Brunski Saat: 06:09 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
insomniac? you people from the future tire easy. It's only 10pm Tuesday in Cali. - of course, there's no weather here to type about... so, later!
Member Since: Aralık 21, 2006 Posts: 1 Comments: 41
234. HadesGodWyvern Saat: 08:26 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
TCWC DARWIN: Northern Territory Australia

TROPICAL LOW
11.3ºS 135.6ºE - 25 knots 1001 hPa

Tropical Cyclone Advisory
==========================
Tropical Low is situated in the southern Arafura Sea about 80 km north of Elcho Island and 165 km northwest of Nhulunbuy.

The Tropical Low is reported moving east at 8 knots.

Tropical Cyclone Watch
=========================
A CYCLONE WATCH is now current from Elcho Island to Numbulwar, including Nhulunbuy and Groote Eylandt.
Member Since: Mayıs 24, 2006 Posts: 43 Comments: 36682
235. HurricaneMyles Saat: 11:41 AM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
Pottery....We've never done well with ENSO forecasts. I dont think the state of climate change is really make those predictions any worse because they we're already bad to begin with.
Member Since: Ocak 12, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 827
236. weatherboykris Saat: 12:13 PM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
good morning
Member Since: Aralık 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11343
237. biff4ugo Saat: 01:51 PM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
There was a photo just like this a month or so ago called "dove in a hole"
but now I can't find it. I thought it was some sort of thermal microburst of vertical activity. Didn't think of something as narrow or linear as a contrail. The falling snow in it makes a cool "ice bird" pattern inside the clear nucleated hole.
Member Since: Aralık 28, 2006 Posts: 107 Comments: 1171
238. Patrap Saat: 02:23 PM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
50 frame CIMSS MIMIC of DORA..Vmax 77knots peak Link
Member Since: Temmuz 3, 2005 Posts: 370 Comments: 111244
239. weatherguy03 Saat: 02:25 PM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
ENSO predictions and climate change dont mix. Early season tropical predictions will be interesting!
Member Since: Temmuz 5, 2005 Posts: 581 Comments: 29680
240. weatherboykris Saat: 02:49 PM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
nice Patrap
Member Since: Aralık 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11343
241. weatherboykris Saat: 02:49 PM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
got that for any other storms?
Member Since: Aralık 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11343
242. weatherboykris Saat: 03:18 PM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
looks like maybe an EWRC in the cards soon?The southern rainband seems to be getting stronger.
Member Since: Aralık 9, 2006 Posts: 125 Comments: 11343
243. snotly Saat: 03:23 PM GMT Tarih: 31 Ocak 2007    
Actually it is Friday here on earth near the event horizon of a tiny black hole south of Cleavland - TGIF!
Member Since: AÄŸustos 27, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 657

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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