Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Sea life's importance to the climate
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, Saat: 02:45 PM GMT Tarih: 29 Mayıs 2007 +2
Does the marine biosphere mix the ocean? A group of oceanographers led by W.K. Dewar of Florida State University argue that the swimming action of fish and other marine organisms may play a critical role in driving ocean currents. If true, large-scale over-fishing or the collapse of the marine food chain due to pollution or ocean acidification may cause significant changes in ocean currents--and Earth's climate.


Figure 1. Rainbow made From a sperm whale using his blowhole. Image taken June 17, 2006 in Kaikora, New Zealand by wunderphotographer jhfelder.

The Meridional Overturning Circulation (MOC) or Thermohaline Circulation is a well-known feature of the ocean circulation. In the Atlantic, the Gulf Stream current forms a portion of the MOC. Gulf Stream waters flow to the region near Greenland, where an input of fresh, denser water from melting ice and river run-off creates a downward flow of water that then moves southward along the ocean bottom towards the Equator. This deep water eventually returns to the surface in the mid-Atlantic to complete a cell of the MOC. Scientists have long thought that the energy needed to drive the MOC came from winds and tides--about two terrawatts of energy (Munk and Wunsch, 1998). However, Dewar et al. show that the mechanical energy added to the ocean by the swimming action of whales is about 1% of this total, and the swimming action of other marine organisms (primarily zooplankton) adds up to 50% of this total--one terrawatt of energy. While the authors admit that their calculations may have large errors, this research shows that marine life may have a heretofore unappreciated large impact on Earth's climate. Our climate is intimately connected to the sun, life on land, life in the ocean, and human activities in an incredibly complex web of interconnections. It is our challenge to understand this system, even as we change it and it changes of its own accord.

My next blog will be Thursday afternoon, when the new Dr. Bill Gray/Phil Klotzbach Atlantic hurricane season forecast will be released.

Jeff Masters

Dewar, W.K., R.J. Bingham, R.L. Iverson, D.P. Nowacek, L.C. St. Laurent, and P.H. Wiebe, 2006, "Does the marine biosphere mix the ocean?", Journal of Marine Research, 64, 541-561.

Munk, W., and C. Wunsch, 1998, "Abyssal recipes II: Energetics of tidal and wind mixing", Deep-Sea Res., 45, 1976-2009.
Categories: Climate Change
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751. groundman Saat: 06:28 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
I agree GS, it's time, the real season is almost upon us and we haven't had anything to really get jazzed up about.
Get out the generators, grab the babies and run, run I say, to the hills for your lives.
But wait till I get back from Hattiesburg to clog up the roads! ;-D.

753. hurricane23 Saat: 06:32 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
Thuderstorm activity has continued to weaken across the gulf with the highest concentration to the south of cuba.

rain
Member Since: Mayıs 14, 2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13276
754. Patrap Saat: 06:34 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
"An increasing body of observations gives
a collective picture of a warming world
and other changes in the climate system." Link

6
Member Since: Temmuz 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111516
755. groundman Saat: 06:35 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
Has anyone read the book "The Secret". It basically says so far dwell on your problems and you will have more problems because you draw them to yourself but if you continuously try to envision good things and things as you want them they will be drawn to you. Being a realist and a skeptic this is rather hard for me to do.
BUT if this is true and all the sea life has an effect on the oceans currents then WHAT are WE doing to the worlds weather?? EGADS!!! We've conjured up a baby hurricane in our back yard!!

LOL LOL LOL Tongue in cheek totally. NO OFFENSE OK??
757. nash28 Saat: 06:36 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
Good thing our hopes aren't resting on the convection just to the south of Cuba. Let's see if the CMC solution spins up a different Low to the NW of that area.
Member Since: Temmuz 11, 2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972
758. crankin Saat: 06:39 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
23, isn't this the norm for convection to die off over the water this time of day? Hopefully, it will kick back up tonight.
Member Since: Ağustos 17, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 14
759. Inyo Saat: 06:41 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
the little ice age was a real cooling, it just wasn't global. It is believed that the small glaciers in the Sierra Nevada formed at that time, when it was probably cooler and wetter. Before that, there was a period called the Xerothermic where California was warmer and drier than it is now. There was also a period where it was colder and drier... so precipitation and temperature are not strongly linked in that part of the world.
Member Since: Eylül 3, 2002 Posts: 42 Comments: 765
761. IKE Saat: 06:42 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
Tampa,Fl. afternoon extended...

"Long range (friday night-wednesday)...all eye's focused on what may
develop out in the Gulf for the weekend. Models continue in good
agreement to bring a hybrid system across the state...bringing
beneficial rains out ahead of it on Saturday and possibly into
Sunday. Timing still a little uncertain...but given hybrid nature of
system prefer to keep best rain chances...60 percent...while area is
on east side of the low Saturday. Otherwise have numbers that are a
blend of 00z and 12z operational guidance."
Member Since: Haziran 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044
762. IKE Saat: 06:47 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
Melbourne,Fl. extended...

"Thursday night-Sat...significant change in the pattern is expected as the
ridge in the western Atlantic breaks down Thursday night-Fri.
Meanwhile...broad cyclonic flow in the western Gulf will draw
tropical moisture northward towards the state...ultimately resulting
in increasing rain changes late this week and early this weekend.
NAM-WRF suggests an area of low pressure north of the Yucatan will
lift northward through the Gulf...which would produce beneficial
rainfall across the forecast area. However...recent trends in the
GFS indicate that a track further to the south and east is more
likely. This would keep the deep tropical moisture to our
south...with only scattered shower activity Friday and Sat as a wave of
low pressure tracks across the southern peninsula. It would not be
fair to totally rule out a wetter solution at this point as depicted
by HPC and the European model (ecmwf)...which takes the low across The Big Bend and
northeastward up the southeast coast. Given the anomalous nature of
the pattern along with the fact that the event is still a few days
out...plan at this point is to only nudge probability of precipitation up slightly from
previous forecast."...........

They don't even mention convective feedback w/the GFS...I still think north Florida is where whatever it is...comes inland.
Member Since: Haziran 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044
763. nash28 Saat: 06:48 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
Thanks for the Tampa forecast Ike.
Member Since: Temmuz 11, 2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972
764. tampahurricane Saat: 06:52 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
can someone post the computer models please thank you
Member Since: Mayıs 28, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 287
765. MisterPerfect Saat: 06:52 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
I get it now! If we drive all the aquatic mamals and fish out of the Florida Straights, whether its by fishing, whaling, lassoing, etc., then the currents that send cooler water south through the gulfstream will be interupted and thus causing high tropical activity to combat the drought! Dr. Masters you and your colleagues are geniuses! We can save a water supply for millions of people and billions of land dwelling animals and plants just by murdering and/or driving out those insignificant aquatic harbingers! We must act fast!!! Link
Member Since: Kasım 1, 2006 Posts: 69 Comments: 19470
767. G35Wayne Saat: 07:02 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
new invest??http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/float2.html
768. G35Wayne Saat: 07:02 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
769. IKE Saat: 07:03 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
Computer models...Link

NOTE: MM5FSU model is outdated from last year.
Member Since: Haziran 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37044
771. Jedkins Saat: 07:07 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
Due the the upgrades made to the GFS it still appears to be havcing some issues, untill its bugs get fixed the GFS really shouldn't be trusted much, the biggest model consensus brings this low across central Florida bringing torrential rain with it, NWS is still being very conservative with only 60% rain chances for now, but I think they are handling the siuation well, they will bump them way up as well as rain forecast by saturday as long aas current trends continue.

The NAMM brings a lot of rain into Florida with this low, the NAMM tends to be somewhat drier as far as QPF goes then many models so if the NAMM looks as wet as it does thats probably a good sign.

We probably won't be able to pin down how much rain will occurr and where accurately till Flriday, by that point forecasters should have a good fix on things.
772. RL3AO Saat: 07:09 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
It was put up a few hours ago Wayne.
773. TheCaneWhisperer Saat: 07:09 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
776. Patrap Saat: 07:16 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
GOES IR Loop of Gulf of Mexico Link
Member Since: Temmuz 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111516
777. Jedkins Saat: 07:22 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
The NAMM tries to bring you some good rains as well up to near coastal Georgia, I like the NAMM the most right now being its one of the wetter models for west central Florida and is a more realiable model right now.
781. weatherboyfsu Saat: 07:41 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
Hello Hurricane23.....If you read the Forecast advisory for Barbara, they do have quite a bit uncertainty about her direction and her strength. Some of the models take her west and some take her NORTH! I think thats interesting whether you do or not. Maybe with all your knowledge and skills and such a heavy work load that you overlooked that discussion. Quit being so anti-storm today....will ya.....
Member Since: Temmuz 17, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1025
784. weatherbro Saat: 07:50 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
I BELIEVE IN GLOBAL WARMING. JUST NOT HUMAN-INDUCED GW. I DO GREATLY APPRECIATE WORLD EFFORTS TO REDUCE CARBON EMISSIONS AMONG OTHER POLLUTANTS TO SAFE GUARD OUR HEALTH.
Member Since: Mayıs 26, 2007 Posts: 47 Comments: 1155
786. Jedkins Saat: 07:52 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
Well if something were to already be organizing, that would be a lot earlier then models predicted, I don't think so just yet, but it does appear as if clouds and showers are developing and becoming more widspread then the models were showing across the souhern gulf today, but that probably doesn't mean much. If it were to mean anything at all, it probably would be a good sign showing that moisture is already beating back the high.
787. ClearH2OFla Saat: 07:54 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
Hey all what i really want to know is when are we going to get some rain. Mowed my yard er lawn, er straw er hay back yard saturday and its was not a good site .
788. BoyntonBeach Saat: 07:55 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
Nice graphic TCW ! JP..you must be more confused than ever! and Gulf do you have a link to the PHSM ?
Member Since: Temmuz 5, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1
789. homegirl Saat: 07:56 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
I'm afraid to mow my yard, it might catch fire!

lol
Member Since: Ağustos 1, 2006 Posts: 45 Comments: 7425
791. Patrap Saat: 07:57 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
EVA ongoing on orbit ..ISS has 2 outside on EVA ..One inside. Hope she lets those guys back in..Link
Member Since: Temmuz 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111516
792. ClearH2OFla Saat: 07:57 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
Nice HOmegirl im in clearwater and i forgot what rain was
793. nash28 Saat: 07:57 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
I sense some snippiness in the blog....
Member Since: Temmuz 11, 2005 Posts: 190 Comments: 16972
795. Patrap Saat: 08:08 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
Emergency Alert E-mail..Link
Member Since: Temmuz 3, 2005 Posts: 371 Comments: 111516
797. DocBen Saat: 08:09 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
I think the INVEST has DIVESTED~!
Member Since: Mayıs 16, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 96
798. crackerlogic Saat: 08:09 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
i live in clearwater too, and i am doing somthing new this year, i am not going to have green grass, i want to see how brown and tan grass looks in my yard
800. MisterPerfect Saat: 08:10 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
What's in a name?! EVERYTHING!!

2007 ATLANTIC STORM NAMES

Andrea - Sub-Tropical, Outcast, Voted most likely to drop out of high school and get divorced in the same year. It happened.

Barry - Has to be on steroids, will spin itself out over right field bleachers and into a poor man's kayak.

Chantal - She got lost in the club and now she has one more baby to feed.

Dean - Thought of as the nerdy storm, has a strong resentment toward the Delta House Fraternity.

Erin - Sounds more like the Boss's Daughter gets what she wants: a trip to Bermuda for 10 days.

Felix - The Hurricane, the wonderful, wonderful, Hurricane.

Gabrielle - French storm my nature. Keep an "eye" on this one for some strange reason. OOooOOooh!

Lorenzo - Back when Cube was rollin wit' Lorenzo in a Benzo to somewhere

Melissa - "Plain Jane" Name Came, Hurricane to Blame.

Noel - They looked up and saw a storm
Shining in the East beyond them far
And to the earth it gave great wind
And so it continued both day and night.
Noel, Noel, Noel, Noel
Born is the Hurricane of Israel!

Humberto - This storm is quick to jump infront of your car and try to get you to buy some papayas.

Ingrid - I've seen little Dutch girls sporting long pigtails with more fearsome names..

Jerry - Started out as a strong candidate but got busted with a hooker and settled down to host the most ridiculous talk show ev... hear that??....JERRY! JERRY! JERRY!

Karen - "And its too late, baby, yeah its too late.."

Olga - Seen em before, European names don't fair well in the Gulfo de Mexico, mein.

Pablo - Not only will he cut the grass cheap but he'll do the roof, windows, shrubs, trees, car, garage door, and the neighborhood's 20 transformers for an extra 10 bucks!

Rebekah - Don't think they're going to let this one off the plane, we're safe, no worries.

Sebastien - Too busy playing cribbage with Tucker, Hunter and Todd to care about causing any problems.

Tanya - My exgirlfriend's name! Does that mean my car is going to get some fender damage!?

Van - Too busy getting high and skateboarding to care about convection and what not..

Wendy - Where's the beef?
Member Since: Kasım 1, 2006 Posts: 69 Comments: 19470
801. marlinsfan1 Saat: 08:10 PM GMT Tarih: 30 Mayıs 2007    
Man, the blob is getting huge!!!!

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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