Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

'Noreaster Noel pounds New England; new tropical depression may hit Nicaragua
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, Saat: 03:59 PM GMT Tarih: 03 Kasım 2007 +2
Hurricane Noel is now 'Noreaster Noel, and wind and seas are steadily rising near New England and Nova Scotia. Sustained winds of 53 mph, gusting to 61 mph, were observed at Buzzard's Bay, Massachusetts at 1pm EDT, and winds at Nantucket Island were 43 mph, gusting to 53 mph. At 3am this morning, strong winds along North Carolina's Outer Banks pushed the sea over Highway 12 near Rodanthe, cutting off the islands from the mainland. Seas were 10-12 feet along North Carolina, and much higher in the open ocean--up to 37 feet at buoy 41048 a few hundred miles west of Bermuda. Waves up to 30 feet are expected to batter the shore of western Nova Scotia, where 'Noreaster Noel is expected to barrel ashore tonight. 'Noreaster Noel has already brought up to an inch of rain to eastern Long Island and coastal Massachusetts (Figure 2), and heavy rains of 4 inches will be common along the coast.


Figure 1. Visible satellite image of 'Noreaster Noel taken at 10:45am EDT 11/03/07. Disturbance 91L is visible at the bottom of the image. Image credit: NASA Goddard.


Noel's trail of destruction
Noel's death toll now stands at 127, with many more missing. The Dominican Republic suffered 82 deaths, Haiti 43, the Bahamas one, and Jamaica one. Noel is the deadliest storm this hurricane season.

Links to follow for 'Noreaster Noel
New England Marine weather and buoy reports
Long range radar out of Boston, MA
Google Maps interface, zoomed in on Nantucket, MA

Figure 2. Total rainfall from 'Noreaster Noel.


New tropical depression could form near Nicaragua
A region of disturbed weather that was the southern portion of Hurricane Noel's rainy regime has acquired a spin of its own, and appears to be organizing into a tropical depression. This disturbance has been labeled "91L" by NHC today. Wind shear is about 10 knots over 91L, and is expected to be 10-20 knots through Monday. This should allow the system enough time to organize into a tropical depression or weak tropical storm before it makes landfall over Nicaragua on Monday. Heavy rains will begin to affect northeastern Nicaragua tonight and spread into northeast Honduras on Sunday. Total rain amounts of 4-8 inches are likely by Tuesday. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate 91L Sunday afternoon.

I'll have an update Sunday morning.

Jeff Masters
Raise the Roof (DRWeather)
LDD-DR employees and neighbors help the Valerio Family repair their home.
Raise the Roof
Waves from Noel (jimbrickett)
Taken at 1500 (3 PM) at Lynnhaven Inlet on the Chesapeake Bay - waves from Hurricane Noel
Waves from Noel
Categories: Hurricane
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601. mit5000 Saat: 01:43 PM GMT Tarih: 04 Kasım 2007    
hmph!

noel has killed the season off!


its coldyfied the waters and ruined any east coast/carribean development possiblietyes
602. hurricane10 Saat: 01:50 PM GMT Tarih: 04 Kasım 2007    
UPDATE LINK
603. sydneyaust1 Saat: 01:53 PM GMT Tarih: 04 Kasım 2007    
591. ShenValleyFlyFish 12:47 PM GMT on November 04, 2007 Hide this comment.
Hey Sidney you still on? Just daylight here. Been figuring out Environment Canada site somewhat. I am one of those rare birds (in this nation) who carries dual citizenship Dad Canadian, Mom US, me born in States. Hows things in the other side of the empire?


Still here lurking ShenValley - I also have dual citizenship - Australia / UK - born in England live in Australia - it's 1AM here - I get no sleep following this blog I tell you (yawn) LOL
604. sydneyaust1 Saat: 02:00 PM GMT Tarih: 04 Kasım 2007    
160 km/h wind gusts forecast or Cape Breton -
Link
605. ShenValleyFlyFish Saat: 02:08 PM GMT Tarih: 04 Kasım 2007    
coldify

another wublog technical term for Baha/Tampa's companion dictionary to Flood's Crow Cookbook.
Member Since: Eylül 9, 2007 Posts: 36 Comments: 4684
606. ShenValleyFlyFish Saat: 02:14 PM GMT Tarih: 04 Kasım 2007    
Environment Canada Weather Forecast
Marine Forecast issued for Gulf-Magdalen.
Issued: 10.00 AM AST Sunday 04 November 2007. Synopsis:
At forecast time post-tropical storm Noel was located north of western Prince Edward Island. It is forecast to pass into the Labrador Sea overnight. The area of gale force winds extends well out from the low covering almost the entire marine district.
Nearer the centre winds become gale to storm force east to southeasterlies ahead of it and shift rapidly to storm force westerlies in its wake. Winds will gradually diminish to strong to gale force westerlies as it continues away this afternoon.
Generally light to moderate winds are expected on Monday as this storm moves well off to the northeast.
Tropical storm information...At 9.00 AM AST post-tropical storm Noel Was located near latitude 47.5 north and longitude 64.3 west...About 55 nautical miles or 100 kilometres east northeast of Chatham.
Noel is moving north northeast at 35 knots...65 km/h.
Maximum sustained winds were estimated at 65 knots...120 km/h and central pressure at 968 MB.
Marine interests are advised that storm warnings are continued for Eastern shore..Sable..Fourchu..Cabot strait.. Northumberland strait..
Gulf Magdalen..And Anticosti. Gale warnings are continued for all Remaining waters except Browns Bank..Georges Bank..And west Scotian Slope.
Mariners are further advised that very rough and pounding surf will persist along the Atlantic coast of Nova Scotia today. As well rough and pounding surf will occur today and tonight in central and northern coastal section of the Gulf of St Lawrence.
Please monitor future forecasts for any updates or changes that may be required for this dangerous storm.
Forecast:
Hurricane force wind warning downgraded to storm warning.
Southeast gales 35 to 45 knots with gusts to 60 near the coast From Margaree Harbour to Bay St Lawrence. Gales increasing to southwest gales 45 to 55 late this morning with gusts to 65 near The coast. Gales diminishing to southwest gales 35 this evening And to southwest winds 20 overnight and to light near dawn Monday.
Showers thundershowers and fog patches ending this afternoon.
Visibility poor in showers and fog. Little temperature change.
Outlook for Tuesday...Light winds increasing to strong to Gale force southeasterlies.
Copyright © 2007 Environment Canada
All Rights Reserved
Member Since: Eylül 9, 2007 Posts: 36 Comments: 4684
607. ShenValleyFlyFish Saat: 02:27 PM GMT Tarih: 04 Kasım 2007    
Atlantic coast marine weather from Enviro/Canada Link
Member Since: Eylül 9, 2007 Posts: 36 Comments: 4684
608. lindenii Saat: 02:53 PM GMT Tarih: 04 Kasım 2007    
So...

Now that Noel is gone...

What are the YTD ACE numbers?

609. ShenValleyFlyFish Saat: 02:59 PM GMT Tarih: 04 Kasım 2007    
new blog up
Member Since: Eylül 9, 2007 Posts: 36 Comments: 4684

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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